Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises: The Role of Early Warning Systems,9781557758286

Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises: The Role of Early Warning Systems

by ; ; ;
ISBN13: 9781557758286
ISBN10: 155775828X
Format: Paperback
Pub. Date: 1999-07-01
Publisher(s): Bernan Assoc
List Price: $18.00

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Table of Contents

Preface v
Overview
1(4)
What Causes Balance of Payments Crises?
5(5)
Different Episodes, Different Determinants?
5(2)
Searching for Common Symptoms
7(3)
Issues in the Design of Early Warning Systems
10(3)
What Are We Trying to Predict?
10(1)
How to Generate Predictions
11(1)
What Variables to Include and How to Measure Them?
12(1)
How Well Do the Models Perform?
13(12)
Kaminsky-Lizondo-Reinhart Model
14(1)
Frankel-Rose Model
15(1)
Sachs-Tornell-Velasco Model
16(2)
Developing Country Studies Division Model
18(1)
Out-of-Sample Performance: 1997
18(3)
Summary of Effectiveness
21(4)
The Implementation of an Early Warning System
25(1)
Appendix. A Survey of the Literature on Currency Crises 26(4)
References 30

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